As a Florida State student, I disagree with the latter. FSU has been recruiting at an extremely high level in basketball, although those successes haven't translated onto the court yet. I would be surprised if they were not a tournament team this year (they almost were last year). FSU basketball is currently in a better place than Illinois basketball.
When's the last time Illinois landed a player like Dwayne Bacon or Jonathan Isaac?
They're doing pretty well recruiting shooting guards, there's no doubt about that. I just wouldn't be too worried about them when it comes to in-state guys. As expected for a top 25 kid, we'll have a ton of competition for Ayo, but the schools mentioned so far aren't the ones that are going to concern me. It just seems weird when people lose hope when good schools offer our targets. If anything we should be concerned when solid high majors don't express interest in our top targets.