Pregame: Illinois at Nebraska, Friday, September 20th, 7:00pm CT, FOX

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#227      
Feels like 24-14 Cornpeople.
The ILL-INI nation is very near the corn... That sounds like a good 2 ints and 3 sack outing for a freshman QB who will learn what disguised secondary looks like.....the hard way.
 
#229      
I'm hoping coach keeps the mantra alive. He tends to have the team prepared bigtime for road games in hostile environments. Let's go Illini! Gonna be a HUGE test.
 
#230      
Paddock did ok, no? 🤷🏼‍♂️

Paddock had over 500 career passing attempts before coming to Illinois. Leary has 5. This is not the same argument being presented earlier. But yes, Paddock provided a shot-in-the-arm at an opportune time but even then it was extremely high variance. His Indiana game was one of the best QB performances in Illinois history and the Minnesota final drive was legendary. Against Iowa he was below average and looked unplayable against Penn State in relief. But again, this was from someone with lots of experience! Leary has barely played.
 
#232      
The ILL-INI nation is very near the corn... That sounds like a good 2 ints and 3 sack outing for a freshman QB who will learn what disguised secondary looks like.....the hard way.
But if Nebraska doesn't have to throw or can run play-action all day, those disguised secondary looks won't do a lot of good. If I'm Nebraska, I focus on establishing the run and dare us to stop them. If the Illinois D-line can at least be serviceable against the run, then there's a chance.
 
#233      
Paddock had over 500 career passing attempts before coming to Illinois. Leary has 5. This is not the same argument being presented earlier. But yes, Paddock provided a shot-in-the-arm at an opportune time but even then it was extremely high variance. His Indiana game was one of the best QB performances in Illinois history and the Minnesota final drive was legendary. Against Iowa he was below average and looked unplayable against Penn State in relief. But again, this was from someone with lots of experience! Leary has barely played.
Not sure who or what you’re arguing. I asked how Leary looked in practice so I know how nervous to be when Luke gets hit. Relax, bro.
 
#235      
Few keys I think will factor into this game and keeping an eye on......

Raiola hasn't been pressured much or had to force passes. Only sacked once and 6 rush attempts through three games against very weak defenses. I think we bring pressure but also need to have a spy on Raiola because I look for those rush attempts to go up when pressure is applied.

Nebraska D has showed up. Toughest team they played was Colorado which is one-dimensional (weakness for them). Hayden with 5 rushing attempts against Nebraska is a joke. Illinois will run the ball whether they gain 2 or 7 yards a carry. Illinois comes in with a stable of healthy backs that all bring different skill levels and change of pace.

Nebraska has played UTEP, Colorado and Northern Iowa. Illinois has played EIU, Kansas and Central Michigan. Nebraska D averaging 9 penalties/game, Illinois D 4.7 penalties/game. Interested to see if we hold to form with first game on the road in hostile environment.

I like the running back rotation, QB play and Bryant/Franklin. Hoping to see growth throughout the season from rest of WR/TE group.
 
#236      
I keep coming back to our place kickers. They may hit 5 on Friday night. I have to think this is a big advantage for us in this game.
Theoretically we are in FG range at the opponents 40.
Idk...just a thought.

Edit: after fact checking nebby's kicking stats.
3 of 4 on the season with zero kicks over 40 yards.
 
#237      
Just watched the full game highlights of the Nebraska vs Colorado game. A few takeaways:

1: Nebraska’s running game is very good. If we can’t stop it, they might not even need to throw to win.

2: Raiola is very good. A true playmaker. A great arm. Good on his feet. The full package.

But—he’s just begging for a multiple interception game this year. Against Colorado, he had one ball he just floated up in the air for a 40 yard gain. A better defense picks that off every time. He had another pass that bounced off the chest plate of a Colorado defender and back into the arms of a Nebraska receiver for a touchdown.

3: Nebraska’s defensive line is scary. Luke’s gonna take a few hits in this game. Our offensive line has to play much better.

4: Nebraska’s defense plays very sound. Not very many missed tackles. When they hit, they hit hard, they wrap up, and they take their guy to the ground.

All that said, the Nebraska / Colorado game was much closer than the score would indicate.

It was one of those games where nothing went right for Colorado and everything went right for Nebraska.

A list:

- 2 “should-have-been” interceptions by Colorado which lead to touchdowns for Nebraska. Take those two off the board and it’s a different game.

- When the score was 7-0, Colorado threw a pick six that was just a terrible read by Sanders and never should have been thrown.

- Nebraska blocked a field goal on the 10 yard line.

- Nebraska stuffed Colorado on 4th and inches twice.

- Targeting called against Colorado with less than a minute to go before halftime that lead to a Nebraska touchdown to go up 28-0 at half.

Nebraska was clearly the better, more talented team, but this game was closer than it appeared.

More evidence of that:

This is the net success rate from the game, which captures which team had more successful plays (it doesn’t take into account turnovers, penalties, and other important parts of football, but typically the teams with the best net success rate over the span of a season win the most games).

Colorado had a better net success rate than Nebraska:


View attachment 36325

I still don’t necessarily see us winning this game. Mostly due to match up. They can run the ball, we struggle to stop the run. They have a scary defensive line, we struggle on the offensive line.

But I think the game is going to be closer than a lot of people.
Have to disagree with BOLDED here... 14 points were negated by phantom penalties called on Nebraska in the second half that would have painted a better picture of the domination over Colorado. We can say "If you take away this or that" with every game and change the outcome. The fact is without the non-existent penalties that erased scores that game is as lopsided on the scoreboard as it was on the field.
 
#238      
It seems like there is a really big story behind this epic Frost fail that probably a few (real) insiders know -- but that the rest of us will never find out.

How does he go from being this rising stud Assistant -- and then successful Coach (before he returned to Lincoln to his beloved home State team) and then flame out so badly? And he had plenty of time to turn things around for the Big Red but the program just stalled out in a bad place.

As a human being... you have to feel a bit sorry for him. This has to be personally embarassing for him.

I would think that many Husker fans over time will remember his better days for the Huskers and not emphasize how his coaching gig went.
This is why I am generally against hiring a beloved ex-player for a coaching position, especially HC. When/If they flame out, it sours the memories and relationship, unfortunately. Can you imagine if we had hired Tim Brewster???
 
#243      
But, again, he’s the backup for a reason.
There's the thing. Sometime a QB is the backup because there's a clear difference in talent, and other times there's a QB1a and QB1b and somebody has to start. Do you know how much difference (reason) there is? I don't. 69 others asks a valid question so we'd appreciate any insight.

Everyone has decided Luke is the 5th best QB in the league because he was 5th in one key stat (out of dozens of stats). I really like Luke and believe we're going to let him loose this week to show his true potential, but I'm hopeful Leary can be serviceable if we need him. I'm disappointed that we didn't give other QB's some experience in the CMU game.
 
#244      
It seems like there is a really big story behind this epic Frost fail that probably a few (real) insiders know -- but that the rest of us will never find out.

How does he go from being this rising stud Assistant -- and then successful Coach (before he returned to Lincoln to his beloved home State team) and then flame out so badly? And he had plenty of time to turn things around for the Big Red but the program just stalled out in a bad place.

As a human being... you have to feel a bit sorry for him. This has to be personally embarassing for him.

I would think that many Husker fans over time will remember his better days for the Huskers and not emphasize how his coaching gig went.
The rumors around Lincoln were around him being back in his element and having too much fun, with some other rumblings sprinkled in.

No matter how good you are, at the B1G or SEC level, you have to be 100% dialed in 24/7 to succeed.

My bet is that he learned a valuable lesson from that experience, but then again, he walked away a very rich man, and he gets to spend time in Scottdale with his family, so it can't be all bad.
 
#245      
There's the thing. Sometime a QB is the backup because there's a clear difference in talent, and other times there's a QB1a and QB1b and somebody has to start. Do you know how much difference (reason) there is? I don't. 69 others asks a valid question so we'd appreciate any insight.

Everyone has decided Luke is the 5th best QB in the league because he was 5th in one key stat (out of dozens of stats). I really like Luke and believe we're going to let him loose this week to show his true potential, but I'm hopeful Leary can be serviceable if we need him. I'm disappointed that we didn't give other QB's some experience in the CMU game.
Heard on a podcast this morning that PFF currently has Luke as the 4th highest rated QB in the B1G.
 
#247      
The rumors around Lincoln were around him being back in his element and having too much fun, with some other rumblings sprinkled in... My bet is that he learned a valuable lesson from that experience, but then again, he walked away a very rich man, and he gets to spend time in Scottdale with his family, so it can't be all bad.

You’re probably right about the ‘fun’ part.

But this is what I still don’t get. For god’s sake... Frost was BORN in Lincoln. He is a true Nebraska native. Everyone in that State quickly becomes aware of how important the Cornhusker football program is to the State and it’s psyche. He had great success there as a player. He played for a Legend Coach. Next to God and family, the Huskers are everything to those people.

AND YET... when he comes back to his beloved program to lead them out of their slumber he seems out of it the whole time. He seemed overwhelmed by his inability to turn things around. He didn’t seem to handle adversity on the field -- and his personal struggle.

And if your analysis is correct... his way of dealing with all this is -- Fun? (And as I said, you’re probably right about that). There is still a missing element to why he made certain choices and why he chose to handle things the way he did.

With Rhule it’s all about building the program and reclaiming success and little outside drama. Guys like Rhule (and there are a handful of them) are special because they know the secret sauce to taking struggling programs and quickly making winners out of them.
 
#249      
I sure hope Henry dials up blitzes this game. Both run and pass blitzes. Our DBs are strong enough to handle their own in man coverage.
Completely agree- we have nothing to lose this game- we may as well go down swinging and confuse the QB as much as possible - maybe force him into bad decisions- would much rather lose that way, by him beating the blitz than sitting back and let them run all over us
 
#250      
Luke getting some love - top QBs
Mike Tyson Sneaker Shopping GIF by Complex
 
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