Minnesota 25, Illinois 17 Postgame

#276      
Busy weekend and not the best performance to break down


(1) Defensive line pass rush was abysmal, their worst performance of the year, against a statue of a QB
(2) The offensive line really struggled (again). It's understandable to start whispering about Bart Miller's body of work. He was gifted an offensive line with loads of experience when he started, was given a turnkey juco transfer (Adams), and the staff brought in two solid transfer tackles this year, but the development has been underwhelming at best.
(3) Just a devastating day for injuries, all around. Rosiek is especially painful with the lack of depth and poor play at linebacker. Optimal timing for the bye week. With the really poor pass rush beyond the Michigan game, and the issues at LB, going to need creative options to speed out QB play for the final three games.
(4) Hugh has his worst game of the season. Great first punt that put the defense in an advantageous position. The next three punts were rough when the team needed to put Minny's offense at a disadvantage.
(5) McCray with his best game of the season and that 50+ yard rush was massive at the moment. Broke a couple or more tackles on that run, which has been a unit issue all year.
(6) Luke falling into old (bad) habits. Staring down preferred routes, poor pocket awareness, waiting too long to relocate or run, or eyes coming down when teams are showing blitz. Today was the first game all year where it seemed obvious that Lunney wasn't scheming things up for Luke and he struggled to adapt on the fly.
(7) Connecting to the previous point, the concern about this game is that Minnesota's defensive blueprint is going to be mimicked going forward - run blitzes on early downs and press outside on later downs. Banking on suffocating quick shots and Illinois' offensive line breaking down for longer ones. Either the offensive line needs to improve, Luke needs to re-capture his confidence, or...
(8) The early down run success has been so, so bad all year. It's a major warning sign, but Luke's awesome first half of the season was good enough that it wasn't fatal. Now that Luke has regressed (doesn't help when you face four straight top-15 defenses), it's crushing the offense. I've said before that Illinois seems to be running better under center, can that be utilized more often? Or does that restrict the passing offense too much? Separately, can the staff scheme up the pistol running game more effectively? Or clean up the sporadic, lengthy handoffs that are poisoning some of the run sequences?
(9) Good to see Carson Goda's performance. His second catch was impressive. Slowly creeping up in snaps and run blocking has improved.
(10) Clarke was rope-and-doped on that one play but I was happy to see him getting plenty of reps the past two games. He's been excellent on special teams but now he's showing potential in the secondary. The growing depth in the secondary could provide Henry some new options on secondary blitzes.

Minnesota knew what we were going to run all game.
 
#278      
doesn't every team ? it is really not hard to figure that out
1st down - run
2nd down - slant
3rd down - down & out

I would say we have a lot of tendencies and tip plays based on personnel and formations. I don’t think ill ever understand why we stopped running McCray. Laugher has a good burst but I’m not running him between the tackles unless it’s a draw.
 
#279      
doesn't every team ? it is really not hard to figure that out
1st down - run
2nd down - slant
3rd down - down & out
At home, first downs are opportunities to visit the kitchen or bathroom. In the stadium, you have to grimace and watch the wasted downs. This eventually grinds down crowd enthusiasm.
 
#281      
This school and students should be ashamed of themselves. This stadium was full except for the north stands (maybe 3/4 at best…maybe.) our school has sold out for the almighty dollar and home state kids have to get whats left. And the bathroom deboggle we had today, not letting people use certain port a pottys when the south bathrooms are flooded. Ludacris. Clown show.
Preach it brother!
 
#283      
I was wondering if anyone has any theories as to what the school of thought behind so many ultra basic dives up the middle might be? ( I’m not trying to be a Dickinson here…just honestly trying to understand.)

the brainworm that causes this is in my opinion the old big ten maxim of "You've Got To Establish The Run"

history is littered with big ten offensive coordinators for whom Establishing The Run was more important than winning the game.

we're nine games into the season. at some point you have to assess what you do well and what you do poorly and maximize your advantages instead of just wasting downs.

it's almost as though getting ourselves into third and long situations is the goal of the offensive system.
 
#284      
I would say we have a lot of tendencies and tip plays based on personnel and formations. I don’t think ill ever understand why we stopped running McCray. Laugher has a good burst but I’m not running him between the tackles unless it’s a draw.
and that's to say nothing of pass blocking

mccray is clearly the best pass blocking back with feagin out, but if we don't give him enough carries it becomes obvious what we're going to do based on who we have in the backfield
 
#285      
Again, we are looking at zero originality when it comes to our ground game. Almost all of our runs involve contact or some level of evasion prior to getting past the line of scrimmage.

When you run an offense that needs to stay on schedule or ahead of schedule, early down runs that don't get 3+ yards are killer. Now you run again, and get stuffed, you need 5-7. You have an incomplete pass, it's 3rd and 7.

Too many plays are just throwaways that don't mesh with the flow of the drive. It's like we only have time to have a single drive/set of plays scripted. It's very much like a pitcher just throwing, not trying to change eye levels or move in and out.

I think Lunney is fine, but we see the limitations every week. How easily can he be replaced with someone who is an obvious improvement? How much is Bret influencing the risk management? I don't know. All I know is we have most talent at our skill positions in a long time, especially at QB, and if this is the best we can get out of it, we probably won't get it again soon.
 
#286      
In slo-mo everything looks intentional. It clearly was not intentional, and the there was nothing done that was illegal. Just an awkward play.
I don’t know. Anytime you pick someone up who is already going down and flip them onto their head/neck, you are intending to do something more than tackle them….
 
#287      
I was wondering if anyone has any theories as to what the school of thought behind so many ultra basic dives up the middle might be? ( I’m not trying to be a Dickinson here…just honestly trying to understand.)

Could the coaching philosophy behind it be something like: “let’s be predictable…and hopefully lull them to sleep so we can be unpredictable later?” Seriously asking…is that it?….do ya think?

I have no problem with old school grind-it out football…but it seems to me that’s putting an emphasis on size/muscle over speed. But we seem to be lacking in both.
It’s also incredibly Vanilla…

Like others have said, I don’t get the limited playbook on the run side. Our aerial assault might not be revolutionary but it’s far more creative by comparison. Our run game…We act like we’ve got Jerome Bettis or something.

Like others have said…there’s gotta be a ga zillion different deceptive ways to run some fairly simple off tackle stuff. Clearly/obviously we need better consistent play from our O-line (a talent upgrade is evidently in order)…Whatever we do try to do, this def. has to improve. It’s been our Achilles’ heel for multiple years.
What I know about coaching football (or any sport for that matter) would fill a thimble. I'm sure many will read the below and give a resounding "well, duh". I know my limitations and I'm fine with that. :)

I think there is both a physical and mental aspect to our first down strategy.

Physically our RBs are just not quick enough. Valentine is the exception but then (as has been mentioned here many times) everyone knows it's a run because he can't pass block. Therefore going straight up the middle is simply the shortest distance between two points, and directing the run there is the most efficient (assuming a hole is created, which is usually not a good assumption).

Mentally I think it is just a bit of repetition designed to lull opposing coaches and defenses into expecting the same every time. Then when we finally do something different we have slightly better odds of success. I know one of our drives Saturday (was it our opening one?) we ran a play-action on first down and I was pleasantly surprised.

Now does all the above outweigh 75% of your first downs being for little or no gain? Probably not.
 
#288      
Why not run some offense with two running backs in the backfield? A full back and a tailback.... to me that would give a lot of options. You could use the fullback for blocking for the tailback or fake up the middle and pitch out or rub the raglan to the flat for a screen. Just so many options.
 
#289      
I don’t know. Anytime you pick someone up who is already going down and flip them onto their head/neck, you are intending to do something more than tackle them….
Except that's not what happened. He wasn't picked up and he wasn't already going down. Luke was fighting through the contact and one of the defenders took out his legs, which is what he's supposed to do.

I think it's notable that our coach specifically singed out the refs after this game, with specific examples, and as far as I am aware did not mention this play. If what you claim happened actually happened, this would be Exhibit A in any complaint about the refs. Instead he talked about the targeting call against Scott and uncalled the late hit against Luke.

But if you want to explain what penalty the refs should have called, and cite to the language in the rule book that supports the penalty, I am always open to changing my opinion.
 
#290      
Except that's not what happened. He wasn't picked up and he wasn't already going down. Luke was fighting through the contact and one of the defenders took out his legs, which is what he's supposed to do.

I think it's notable that our coach specifically singed out the refs after this game, with specific examples, and as far as I am aware did not mention this play. If what you claim happened actually happened, this would be Exhibit A in any complaint about the refs. Instead he talked about the targeting call against Scott and uncalled the late hit against Luke.

But if you want to explain what penalty the refs should have called, and cite to the language in the rule book that supports the penalty, I am always open to changing my opinion.
Yeah, the only call (or lack thereof) that ticked me off was the blown delay of game that they initially charged a timeout to Illinois, and subsequently returned the timeout. It was a very messed up sequence that should have pushed Minnesota back 5 yards.
 
#291      
I'm in the clear minority here but I don't place a lot of blame on play calling. In fact, play calling hasn't lost us a single game. Are we kind of predictable? Yeah, but that's more of a symptom than a root cause. IMO, it starts with the line. We're just so limited in what we can do. But we have to at least try to play complementary football.

I've seen some people suggest that we should pass to open up the run. Well what if I told you we already do that? Against Minnesota we ran 28 first down plays. Only 7 of them were hand offs.

Without a good line, we're going to continue to fall behind the sticks regardless of the plays called. That's just football.
 
#292      
I've seen some people suggest that we should pass to open up the run. Well what if I told you we already do that? Against Minnesota we ran 28 first down plays. Only 7 of them were hand offs.
That's largely a function of being behind for a good chunk of the game.

In the first half we ran 6 1st down run plays (including a Luke keeper on an option that you didn't include because it's not a "hand off").

That being said my main problem with the play calling was 3rd down, not 1st. That 3rd-and-2 where we ran McCray for a loss was particularly bad. Everyone knew what we were going to do and we knew they knew, and we did it anyway.
 
#293      
That's largely a function of being behind for a good chunk of the game.
I don't agree with that. We were down one score at most the entire game. You are not changing your offense a lot because of being behind by one score.

The greater likelihood is because the hand-off was not working and wrre trying something different.
 
#294      
That's largely a function of being behind for a good chunk of the game.

In the first half we ran 6 1st down run plays (including a Luke keeper on an option that you didn't include because it's not a "hand off").

That being said my main problem with the play calling was 3rd down, not 1st. That 3rd-and-2 where we ran McCray for a loss was particularly bad. Everyone knew what we were going to do and we knew they knew, and we did it anyway.

But also EVERY team runs plenty of straight handoffs every game. It's not like we are doing something old fashioned that nobody else does. Really a lot of the time the blocking isn't even that terrible but our RBs have not done a good job of finding holes. It's get the ball and just plow straight ahead into the back of the line. Think about how Chase Brown was effective, he always talked about being patient, waiting for blocks to develop, finding seams. Go watch the best RBs out there and they arent just blasting full speed ahead after the handoff. How often have you seen our RBs cut back, bounce a run outside, or really do anything other than go straight ahead. McCray is getting better YPC because he can actually read his blocks and find some of those seams, Laughery and at this point Valentine just don't have it.
 
#295      
I don't agree with that. We were down one score at most the entire game. You are not changing your offense a lot because of being behind by one score.

The greater likelihood is because the hand-off was not working and wrre trying something different.
I mean, of the 1st down pass plays we ran something like 6 of them were in the last drive of the 1st half (less than 2 minutes) and the last two drives of the 2nd half (3 minutes and under and needing a TD). That's a pretty significant chunk of our 1st down plays where it's just situationally heavily weighted towards a pass play. When the situation is more neutral, we absolutely do tend to run more often on 1st down, which is fine btw, so long as we're finding ways to make it work (which it did not in this game).

But also EVERY team runs plenty of straight handoffs every game. It's not like we are doing something old fashioned that nobody else does. Really a lot of the time the blocking isn't even that terrible but our RBs have not done a good job of finding holes. It's get the ball and just plow straight ahead into the back of the line. Think about how Chase Brown was effective, he always talked about being patient, waiting for blocks to develop, finding seams. Go watch the best RBs out there and they arent just blasting full speed ahead after the handoff. How often have you seen our RBs cut back, bounce a run outside, or really do anything other than go straight ahead. McCray is getting better YPC because he can actually read his blocks and find some of those seams, Laughery and at this point Valentine just don't have it.
Which again is why I'm more critical of our 3rd down play calling than 1st down. I just think the added context is necessary as we ran a much higher percentage of our first down plays in the beginning of the game.

And yeah, our personnel is not ideal at RB right now. Really missing Feagin, and think we need to adjust our game plan a bit to match the personnel we do have.
 
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