This seems like partially a "map" problem that I've mentioned before. The areas that often produced the best in-state OL recruits have historically been the least successful recruiting areas for UI.
2025 - No offensive line recruits ranked in the state's top-18! McDonough is the second-best lineman in the state. Top ranked kid is #20 from Glen Ellyn.
2024 - Marques Easley #5 - Kankakee (staff has tried but hasn't been successful). Will Nolan #7 (Arlington Heights). Lucas Austin #12 - very late bloomer (Sterling, Illinois never offered). Body McCaslin #16 (St. Charles, staff was on early but backed off)
2023 - Jagusah #1 - had no chance. Miles McVay #3 (ESL - long and spotted history here), Anthony Birsa (Joliet Catholic, who has not been Illinois friendly beyond Anderson), Paris Patterson #8 (ESL - looks like a bust), Henderson #12 (ESL - got him), Christopher Derek #15 (Glen Ellyn)
2022 - Deuce McGuire #10 (Marist), no other top-20 lineman.
Going by this list, there hasn't been any top-20 in-state offensive lineman in strong Illinois recruiting areas since Bielema took over (CPL or outside of suburb area). That's both a bad break for Bielema and fairly aligned with historical trends. It becomes a question of whether Illinois can break into the closer ring of Chicago 'burbs for recruiting or if they are going to have to over-emphasize recruitment on 1-2 in-state options and hope for out-of-state help or late bloomers. The 2026 class provides two options that help tip the scales for Illinois
Claude Mpouma #8 - Phillips Academy (CPL)
Gene Riordan #16 - Hinsdale (not a good area but seems interested)
Tony Balanganayi #17 - Palatine (some success)
Casey Thomann #18 - Olney (Central Illinois)
Owen Fors #20 - Barrington (not a good area but recruit seems genuinely interested)
Mpouma is perfectly aligned with Illinois' recruiting area, but he's originally from Cameroon and a Trieu article said he doesn't care about location, so that advantage is diminished or gone. The good Illinois start does seem to be making an impression on Riordan and Fors. I wouldn't say that getting an in-state recruit ranked in the 15-20 range is a difference maker, but could show future opportunities to go into the Chicago suburbs and winning recruiting battles that previous staffs could not.