Illinois Football Recruiting Thread

#427      

lstewart53x3

Scottsdale, Arizona
I really like Bret as both a coach and a person. I would love for him to be the one to turn this program around, and the AD's office with the exemplary Mr Whitman have backed him with his deal through 2028.

However, outside of the bowl game with our NFL talent it's been "almost but not quite". We were 3 games away from 3 consecutive bowl games and a Big Ten Championship game. I can't help but feel that our window to build an upper-tier program was right there. I doubt we ever compete with Penn State, Ohio State, and Michigan, but a streak of success like that would have put us out of bottom-dweller status and given major boosts to recruiting and NIL. It doesn't get easier with 4 teams inbound who finished last year as 2nd, 6th & receiving votes x2 in the top 25.

Bielema supported outreach to the state's high schools, and the team is competitive in most of the games they play. But without winning, we'll lose recruits to a team that's averaged 3-9 over the last 3 years. How does the team find sustained success going forward?
If BB can’t turn this ship around, I have no faith it can be turned around.
 
#429      
If BB can’t turn this ship around, I have no faith it can be turned around.
Unfortunately that's where I'm at too. And this is no insult to BB implying he's not trying. I fully believe he is doing his best, and defying expectations along the way. We are just so below the rest, I don't know if Illinois football can ever truly be "turned around".
 
#430      
Based on how basketball recruiting has been going, we clearly have the donors to support being contenders in the NIL world. The problem is getting some of those donors to move to football. The issue is that donors want to see success, and right now, donating to basketball is likely more likely show some success than donating to football. Success begets more success.
Then start scheduling non conference teams you can beat. Just like Wisconsin did in the '90s. You NEVER put a SEC/Big 12/ACC team in you non conference schedule. That's Josh's biggest eff up to date. No idea what he was thinking when he did that - some Belleville alum screaming in his ear?
 
#433      
Then start scheduling non conference teams you can beat. Just like Wisconsin did in the '90s. You NEVER put a SEC/Big 12/ACC team in you non conference schedule. That's Josh's biggest eff up to date. No idea what he was thinking when he did that - some Belleville alum screaming in his ear?
Yup Illinois needs to buy out the Missouri games and the Duke games- use some of that tv money
 
#434      
If BB can’t turn this ship around, I have no faith it can be turned around.

I'd wholeheartedly disagree. That said, the things that made BB a solid hire several years ago aren't the traits that are necessarily most valuable today. BB is a developmental coach, and while he may land the occasional 4*, his strengths are illustrated far more when athletes stick around to be developed. These days, the coaches that are most successful recently are those that can energize their fan/donor base to contribute NIL to buy talent. Given how few recruiting battles we are in relative to others, you wonder whether a developmental coach has much success in the current environment

But, Rutgers, Purdue, Kansas, etc have shown that you can be an awful program for a while and then find success
 
#435      

mhuml32

Cincinnati, OH
Based on how basketball recruiting has been going, we clearly have the donors to support being contenders in the NIL world. The problem is getting some of those donors to move to football. The issue is that donors want to see success, and right now, donating to basketball is likely more likely show some success than donating to football. Success begets more success.

OKay, I'm gonna ask a maybe dumb question, followed by an even dumber scenario.

How much of this recruiting is really all about money, specifically NIL money?

Let's say... for fun... Illinois goes like 9-3 or 10-2 this year. Good enough to be awesome, but maybe just misses the playoffs. Then, let's say they win a major bowl game. Does that change anything if NIL money stays the same? Or are recruits looking for instant payouts vs. clear progress?

It's dependent on the donor but region, history, and fan interest are primary factors. Could one season improve the NIL donation interest? Sure. But how much? Not enough to instantly reach the NIL levels at perennial 9-10 win programs. This stuff can snowball with prolonged and improved winning - such as 90's Wisconsin - or sudden interest from one of your very top donors. But even someone like Khan throwing in $20 million to kickstart NIL isn't going to instantly make Illinois a perennial top-25 program.

I'm not as interested in the massive, one-time injection because it's just so improbable. The hope is that Bielema can keep piling up 6-6/7-5 winning seasons and find ways to keep incrementally beating expectations. This would move the needle for fans to keep money trickling into the system and recruits getting Illinois the edge in recruiting against similar programs. This is partially why the many stumbles and close calls last year that left Illinois short of a bowl bid was so painful. There could have been so much narrative of breaking the long streak, winning seasons, etc. that was lost.

I'm going to piggyback off my post :unsure:

You have a limited amount of NIL. I'll use this example as it's current. What if (I have no idea if true), Indiana beat Illinois on Chandler because of NIL money? Giving NIL money to HS players has to be looked at more closely than proven current or portal players. I don't know these number are accurate but would you rather have 2.5 Chandlers or 1 Zakhari Franklin? Give me Franklin and the current WR group on the team ( I know they won't play together but that level of player).

You need to be very sure a HS player will ultimately contribute before throwing out a lot of NIL and that can be dicey.

I have real doubts that NIL is trickling down to these level of recruits, but if it is, I still can't believe Chandler is getting that much. He isn't a good enough playmaker to believe he's going to get lots of snaps as a freshman. You would be committing two years of NIL payments before any payoff (when Chandler could just leave after his first year or those same payments can be used on a transfer that's guaranteed to play immediately). That said, if Chandler is getting NIL - it either means their staff thinks he's an immediate playmaker or IU has enough donor money that they can toss around some cash on solid but not elite HS recruits. Either way, it's a bad sign for Illinois.


The only correct answer is you need both Franklin and Chandler. Illinois can't afford to pay for the Franklins every year, meaning you need home grown talent that can be kept at a discount or greater certainty of success.
 
#436      
I'd wholeheartedly disagree. That said, the things that made BB a solid hire several years ago aren't the traits that are necessarily most valuable today. BB is a developmental coach, and while he may land the occasional 4*, his strengths are illustrated far more when athletes stick around to be developed. These days, the coaches that are most successful recently are those that can energize their fan/donor base to contribute NIL to buy talent. Given how few recruiting battles we are in relative to others, you wonder whether a developmental coach has much success in the current environment

But, Rutgers, Purdue, Kansas, etc have shown that you can be an awful program for a while and then find success
Agree wholeheartily. I believe BB made some really crucial mistakes with promoting coaches from within. We don't have time to develop Coordinators. Need proven ones. Lost our momentum.
 
#437      
I'm going to piggyback off my post :unsure:

You have a limited amount of NIL. I'll use this example as it's current. What if (I have no idea if true), Indiana beat Illinois on Chandler because of NIL money? Giving NIL money to HS players has to be looked at more closely than proven current or portal players. I don't know these number are accurate but would you rather have 2.5 Chandlers or 1 Zakhari Franklin? Give me Franklin and the current WR group on the team ( I know they won't play together but that level of player).

You need to be very sure a HS player will ultimately contribute before throwing out a lot of NIL and that can be dicey.
If Indiana beat us out via more NIL, we have no one to blame but ourselves … that isn’t losing out to Michigan or even a Wisconsin. Thats embarrassing.
 
#438      

lstewart53x3

Scottsdale, Arizona
I'd wholeheartedly disagree. That said, the things that made BB a solid hire several years ago aren't the traits that are necessarily most valuable today. BB is a developmental coach, and while he may land the occasional 4*, his strengths are illustrated far more when athletes stick around to be developed. These days, the coaches that are most successful recently are those that can energize their fan/donor base to contribute NIL to buy talent. Given how few recruiting battles we are in relative to others, you wonder whether a developmental coach has much success in the current environment

But, Rutgers, Purdue, Kansas, etc have shown that you can be an awful program for a while and then find success
Record’s past 3 yrs:

Rutgers: 16-24
Purdue: 21-18
Kansas: 17-21
Illinois: 18-19

Under BB, we are those teams.
 
#440      
How are we losing a commit to Indiana of all programs? What is going on?
Benjamin Franklin Money GIF
 
#441      

redwingillini11

White and Sixth
North Aurora
I don’t really understand what has changed in the past few days around here. We’ve been staring down this reality of Illinois football in a stacked 18 team B1G for some time now. It’s looking no more daunting than it has since it came together. I ask, what about that has changed?

If it’s our recruiting in general, well it’s about on par with how it’s been under BB, and as others point out our quality of recruit appears to be higher than a lot of the other programs who just have some volume in their class at this moment. Of course it’s not on a competitive level with the top have of the conference, but when did we expect it to be?

If it’s about this recent decommit, well, I hate losing a commit to a conference rival as anyone. But we lost a kid to his home state school. At WR, a very expendable and replaceable position. I don’t like anyone decommitting from us, but I’m not going to lose sleep over this one.

Now, if there are serious cracks and we are about to lose half of our 2025 class who are walking away from us, then yeah I’ll be sounding the alarm bells with the rest of you. But I thought we had done fairly well with our visits and that we were told there are some booms on the way.

The outlook for our future of making a bowl game scares me, certainly. It’s why I will be the first to beat the drum to drop the Mizzou series. We need 3 easy wins in noncon to have a chance at a bowl. I don’t love that. But I don’t understand why there is just now panic in the streets.
 
#442      
I don’t really understand what has changed in the past few days around here. We’ve been staring down this reality of Illinois football in a stacked 18 team B1G for some time now. It’s looking no more daunting than it has since it came together. I ask, what about that has changed?

If it’s our recruiting in general, well it’s about on par with how it’s been under BB, and as others point out our quality of recruit appears to be higher than a lot of the other programs who just have some volume in their class at this moment. Of course it’s not on a competitive level with the top have of the conference, but when did we expect it to be?

If it’s about this recent decommit, well, I hate losing a commit to a conference rival as anyone. But we lost a kid to his home state school. At WR, a very expendable and replaceable position. I don’t like anyone decommitting from us, but I’m not going to lose sleep over this one.

Now, if there are serious cracks and we are about to lose half of our 2025 class who are walking away from us, then yeah I’ll be sounding the alarm bells with the rest of you. But I thought we had done fairly well with our visits and that we were told there are some booms on the way.

The outlook for our future of making a bowl game scares me, certainly. It’s why I will be the first to beat the drum to drop the Mizzou series. We need 3 easy wins in noncon to have a chance at a bowl. I don’t love that. But I don’t understand why there is just now panic in the streets.
I don't believe there is panic in the streets, if you will. Given the overall state of the football program over the last 10 years (or longer), panic has passed.
Instead, there are a few of us who just took a brief evaluation of where we're at right at this moment. This is what we are seeing--

-2025 recruiting class (composite) is currently 2nd to last in the conference. Not where we want to be. Certainly can still end up better than that, but it's not good right now.
-Lost a solid recruit from that class to an Indiana. Again, not the end of the world but still something we don't like to have happen.
-Our non-con schedule is difficult so bowl games are going to be very challenging to achieve and without that gaining more HS recruiting traction is going to be difficult.
-And if a guy like BB can't get it done at Illinois, where do we go next if that has to happen?

We love our Illini, but at this point in time, we have more than our fair share of football program challenges to meet and solve.
 
#446      
I don’t really understand what has changed in the past few days around here. We’ve been staring down this reality of Illinois football in a stacked 18 team B1G for some time now. It’s looking no more daunting than it has since it came together. I ask, what about that has changed?

If it’s our recruiting in general, well it’s about on par with how it’s been under BB, and as others point out our quality of recruit appears to be higher than a lot of the other programs who just have some volume in their class at this moment. Of course it’s not on a competitive level with the top have of the conference, but when did we expect it to be?

If it’s about this recent decommit, well, I hate losing a commit to a conference rival as anyone. But we lost a kid to his home state school. At WR, a very expendable and replaceable position. I don’t like anyone decommitting from us, but I’m not going to lose sleep over this one.

Now, if there are serious cracks and we are about to lose half of our 2025 class who are walking away from us, then yeah I’ll be sounding the alarm bells with the rest of you. But I thought we had done fairly well with our visits and that we were told there are some booms on the way.

The outlook for our future of making a bowl game scares me, certainly. It’s why I will be the first to beat the drum to drop the Mizzou series. We need 3 easy wins in noncon to have a chance at a bowl. I don’t love that. But I don’t understand why there is just now panic in the streets.
Couldn't have said it better myself
 
#447      
People aren't going to digest how radically different college football is now until they see it.
Unfortunately, the college sports world that I grew up with and loved is gone, probably forever. It was a different product than the NFL/NBA; in my opinion a better product. Now it's just another professional sport, albeit with fewer guardrails
 
#448      

mhuml32

Cincinnati, OH
I don’t really understand what has changed in the past few days around here. We’ve been staring down this reality of Illinois football in a stacked 18 team B1G for some time now. It’s looking no more daunting than it has since it came together. I ask, what about that has changed?

If it’s our recruiting in general, well it’s about on par with how it’s been under BB, and as others point out our quality of recruit appears to be higher than a lot of the other programs who just have some volume in their class at this moment. Of course it’s not on a competitive level with the top have of the conference, but when did we expect it to be?

If it’s about this recent decommit, well, I hate losing a commit to a conference rival as anyone. But we lost a kid to his home state school. At WR, a very expendable and replaceable position. I don’t like anyone decommitting from us, but I’m not going to lose sleep over this one.

Now, if there are serious cracks and we are about to lose half of our 2025 class who are walking away from us, then yeah I’ll be sounding the alarm bells with the rest of you. But I thought we had done fairly well with our visits and that we were told there are some booms on the way.

The outlook for our future of making a bowl game scares me, certainly. It’s why I will be the first to beat the drum to drop the Mizzou series. We need 3 easy wins in noncon to have a chance at a bowl. I don’t love that. But I don’t understand why there is just now panic in the streets.

All fair points!

(1) Recruiting has shown a marked improvement under Bielema (see post from spring where I did a breakdown of substantial improvement for commits with other offers), but this class is showing a regression. All of this is within the context of changes year-to-year and comparative to conference.
(2) I don't see a panic. There's a difference between people point out the now-apparent cracks, silent acceptance. or lacking reality. We are less than a month from someone posting that this might be the best recruiting staff in Bielema's tenure, which now looks like an overreaction because of a lack of results.
(3) The obvious is that wins are one of the very few things that matter. Couldn't agree more on the Mizzou series needing to be dropped. It's completely indefensible that there's an upcoming season where Illinois will play Duke and Missouri in the same non-conference.
(4) The concern about the 2025 class is we are not seeing the same success in the June visits that we saw last year. There are less available guys that make sense for the remaining needs and this class might become more dependent on being finished with unheralded or project recruits or heavier transfer portal needs ($).