Pregame: Illinois vs Kansas, Saturday, September 7th, 6:00pm CT, FS1

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#76      
Both you and Loren Tate were spot on. According to ACTION Network, I'm seeing:

ILLINI +6.0 O/U = 55.

The Lawrence, KS broadcaster for KU basketball and football was highly (overly?) confident on Saturday Sports Talk yesterday with Loren and Steve. He made it sound like Kansas was quickly transitioning into the new Texas/Oklahoma of the Big 12, and Lance L. is settling-in to become the new Bear Bryant of the football program. In essence, he suggested that we might want to just stay home and do yard work rather than waste 7 hours at the game. After listening to the entire interview, his key to the game will be the Jayhawks returning experience (queu Robert Rosenthal)........

Where was this guy last year when I naively decided to fly 1000 miles to Lawrence, Kansas and sit through that debacle? Both TSJ and I could have benefited from the advanced notice.
We rank 65th in the nation in returning production.

Kansas? 78th.

Full list:

 
#81      
#84      
if we win, I think we beat Nebraska too
That’s what I’ve been saying — a win here puts our realistic ceiling at 9-3, with the losses being something like Oregon, PSU, and 75% chance Michigan/15% Rutgers/10% random poor play or poor game management disappointment. A very successful season.

I think if we lose by a score that isn’t embarrassing we’ll still end up 6-6 and end up being happy with the season. Win-win regardless.
 
#86      
Any star Kansas basketball players gonna be in town? Got some connections who would like to show them a good time. wink wink. Suppose Billy is demanding no one goes to CU
 
#88      
Returning production? I'm assuming that's measurable stats like passing yards.

If I had a choice between on O-line with an average of 3 years experience teamed with a freshman running back or a freshman laden O-line teamed with Chase Brown I'm taking the experienced line.
Yep that’s exactly right. What I shared above was Bill Connelly’s returning production rankings.

His formula is returning production by position group and certain position groups are weighted less heavily than others. RB is weighted the least:

Offense:

Percent of returning WR/TE receiving yards
: 23.5% of the overall number

Percent of returning QB passing yards: 24%

Percent of returning OL snaps: 47.5%

Percent of returning RB rushing yards: 5%

Defense:

Percent of returning tackles
: 69.5%

Percent of returning passes defensed (intercepted or broken up): 12%

Percent of returning tackles for loss: 10.5%

Percent of returning sacks: 8%
 
#89      
On the topic of returning production, Bill Connelly’s formula put Nebraska 3rd. That’s the type of team that takes a big step forward.

Meanwhile, Michigan is 128th. That’s the type of team that takes a big step back.
 
#90      
Yep that’s exactly right. What I shared above was Bill Connelly’s returning production rankings.

His formula is returning production by position group and certain position groups are weighted less heavily than others. RB is weighted the least:

Offense:

Percent of returning WR/TE receiving yards
: 23.5% of the overall number

Percent of returning QB passing yards: 24%

Percent of returning OL snaps: 47.5%

Percent of returning RB rushing yards: 5%

Defense:

Percent of returning tackles
: 69.5%

Percent of returning passes defensed (intercepted or broken up): 12%

Percent of returning tackles for loss: 10.5%

Percent of returning sacks: 8%
Surprised. Pretty decent formula on offense.

I think defense is really hard to judge this way. It's amazing how one player on the line can really change things. More so than on offense imo.
 
#93      
The stage is set for us to do to Kansas what we did in the revenge game against Virginia just a couple of years ago.
Let it be.
Speaking words of wisdom.
Let It Be Beatles GIF by Indonesian Idol
 
#94      
We can't fall behind early. We need to be able to pound the ball with the RB's to control TOP. If we can't run the ball early and they are able to go up 14 by the 2nd quarter, the crowd will be quiet, some will leave at 1/2 and it's the same as it ever was. Saying that, I believe we can run, have enough play action and make this a very fun game to watch.
Does it worry anyone that Feagin is making highlights on special teams? I really believe he is the 2nd most important piece of this offense and don't want a knee or shoulder injury on some special teams play.
 
#97      
We can't fall behind early. We need to be able to pound the ball with the RB's to control TOP. If we can't run the ball early and they are able to go up 14 by the 2nd quarter, the crowd will be quiet, some will leave at 1/2 and it's the same as it ever was. Saying that, I believe we can run, have enough play action and make this a very fun game to watch.
Does it worry anyone that Feagin is making highlights on special teams? I really believe he is the 2nd most important piece of this offense and don't want a knee or shoulder injury on some special teams play.
Couldn't agree more. Sure hope this young guy can stay healthy. Actually, when he gets to the second level, he's got more speed than I thought.
 
#98      
We rank 65th in the nation in returning production.

Kansas? 78th.

Full list:

Regarding the KU returning experience......The Kansas radio play-by-play guy is Brian Hanni. He mentioned to Loren/Steve that KU has ~30 returning seniors, plus a ton of incoming transfers. He did not translate that experience into returning "on-the-field production."

This is a really tough game to prognosticate. Speed/quickness was the #1 difference maker last year in Lawrence. We got manhandled. I agree with an earlier poster --- I'd like to see a Virginia type of turnaround year 2 vs year 1.
 
#99      
Any idea on KU's defense? Like...everything I've heard about them is offense, offense, offense.

Is it good? Average? Below Average? Bad possibly?
They lost their best pass rusher - so that is a question mark this year = Luke should have time to throw

They lost their two best linebackers so that could be a weak point, but they have really good Defensive backs, particularly their starting CB’s

Key to the game like others have said will be to get a lead early and pound the running game - not many teams are prepared for a 250 pound guy like Feagin, then a 240 pound guy like McCray and then a change of pace quick back- if we can establish the run and open up some throws to keep them off balance I like our chances

Like every game limiting turnovers will be especially important- don’t want to give Jalon Daniel’s too many possessions and if he’s one dimensional and has to throw it- that is our best chance
 
#100      
Any idea on KU's defense? Like...everything I've heard about them is offense, offense, offense.

Is it good? Average? Below Average? Bad possibly?
I can try to answer this, but the honest answer is that we don't really know yet. We had the starters out at halftime against Lindenwood. The two-deep on defense looks like:

LDE: Robinson, Jereme SR, || Wudke, Dylan RS SR
LDT: Withers, DJ RS JR, || Caldwell, Kenean RS JR
RDT: Dunn Jr., Tommy RS JR, || Taylor, Caleb RS JR
RDE: Miller, Dean RS JR, || Warner, DJ FR
WLB: Brown, JB RS JR, || Fletcher, Tristian RS JR
MLB: Wheeler, Cornell RS SR, || Berryhill Jr. Taiwan SR
HAWK: Gilliom, Jayson RS JR, || Raich, Alex RS SR
LCB: Bryant, Jacobee SR, || McGhee, Damarius RS JR
SS: Grant, Marvin RS SR, || Dye, Devin RS JR
FS: Burroughs, O.J. SR, || Dye, Jalen RS JR
RCB: Dotson, Ra'Mello SR, || Todd, Jalen FR

Biggest area of concern is our defensive line vs your offensive line. Your offensive line is big and experienced, and I'm worried about our defensive line being a little undersized against a legit B10 offensive line. Withers (290), Dunn Jr. (310), Caldwell (330), and Taylor (315) will have to play big. I'm interested to see how our DEs and LBs defend the run. We have two freshman on the two-deep, Deshawn Warner and Jalen Todd. And while both of those guys earned their spots, they don't have a ton of experience. Warner is I think the highest-rated recruit we've ever had.

We're strong at corner. Jacobee (Cobee) Bryant is one of three Jayhawks appearing regularly on CFB top 100 player lists (the other two being Jalon Daniels QB and Devin Neal RB). Ra'Mello (Mello) Dotson was a preseason B12 conference player. I feel good about Burroughs and Grant at safety.

If last year's game was a B12 style game, Illinois needs this year's game to be a B10 style game. Run the ball, control tempo, don't turn it over. The more points that are scored, the better chance KU has of winning imo. I have no predictions as to who wins the game. It will be interesting to see which team has success establishing their style of play. I'm guessing it will be a close game with a final score in the high 20s, low 30s.
 
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